10.22 – SJW Week 7 Predictions (Alee guest post!)

Alee has graciously penned this week’s SJW predictions post. As you can tell by his writing style, this is a man that actually holds a paying job, not just some fantasy sport playing degenerate with a blog like myself.

Matchups!

Team Reffe (8-4) at deflate deez nuts (12-0)

I’m going to be as partial as I can when it comes to writing about this particular matchup.  I actually made a substantial trade with Team Reffe earlier this year, which definitively changed the complexion of both of our teams.

Me: DeAndre Hopkins, Andre Ellington, Pierre Garcon, Rishard Matthews

Him: Devonta Freeman, Julian Edelman, Roddy White, Victor Cruz

This week, he’s (as of this moment) starting DeAndre and Rishard, while sitting Andre and Pierre.  Hopkins is a target machine, so he’ll definitely get his share of points.  Rishard, on the other side, has been and will be a hit-or-miss WR3 tops.  As for the rest of his team, Stafford goes against an underrated MIN D/ST and AD draws a porous DET D/ST.  T.Y. Hilton draws a favorable matchup vs. NO, and Antonio Gates draws the 32nd ranked defense vs TE, Oakland.  I like how a lot of his players’ teams are going against one another this week.  His overall team construct is good, and he has the potential to score a lot of points with his high-end players.

My team might struggle this week more than most.  Four of my starters are going against the Jets’ very impressive defense.  Tom Brady will hopefully have those underneath routes open for JE11 and Gronk.  Blount is an interesting flex play, but it’s highly contingent on gameflow.  If the score is out of hand by the 3rd quarter, then the bruising Blount will get valuable yards, and maybe a TD to go along with it.  Devonta Freeman (@ TEN) and my newly traded for RB, LeSean McCoy (@ JAX) both are high ceiling plays vs. pretty mediocre-to-bad run defenses.  Amari Cooper will probably struggle at San Diego.  I believe it’s time for people to jump aboard the Travis Benjamin train.  Currently the 5th best WR in fantasy in .5ppr, he consistently gets the targets and catches needed to be a true WR2.

Overall, I think my team will continue to put up enough points to win.  14-0 seems very likely, though I feel like I’ll have to sweat it out vs. a very respectable opponent.

Pick: Deflate deez nuts

McAfee’s Colts (0-12) at Show Me Your TDs (2-10)

The battle of struggling teams.  Ooph.

From the looks of things, Coach VZ actually is fielding a decent team this week, according to ESPN’s projections.  Generally, as has been the case throughout the season, his team consistently underperforms.  Marshawn Lynch and Carlos Hyde are his starting RBs.  Carlos appears to be ready to go, albeit banged up.  Marshawn is fresh off a decent performance, and figures to draw more carries this week.  Other than a steady WR1 in Brandon Marshall, his other receivers are waiver wire fodder, with Michael Floyd (who might have just lost his job to John Brown), and the Giants’ Reuben Randle.  Kyle Rudolph is a meddling TE, but Latavius Murray is a strong flex, as he looks to take advantage of San Diego’s awful run defense.

Jon’s team is facing quite a struggle this week.  Rivers, while fresh off a 500/2TD game @ Green Bay, faces an OAK D/ST who is fresh off the bye and looking to repeat a performance similar to what they did to DEN two weeks ago.  Lamar Miller (vs HOU) and Frank Gore (vs NO) draw favorable matchups, as they look to repeat their solid performances from a week ago.  His receivers, similar to Coach VZ’s, are relatively weak.  The difference is that they draw relatively favorable matchups.  John Brown (vs BAL), Tavon Austin (vs CLE), Stefon Diggs (@ DET) are low floor/high ceiling kind of players.  Boom or bust, basically.  Larry Donnell is rather terrible, and Ameer Abdullah can’t get out of his own way in terms of fumbling the football.

It looks like Coach VZ should be onto his first win, but can his players finally stop performing badly?  I don’t think so.

Pick: Show Me Your TDs

Team BBC (4-8) at The Limping Dez (7-5)

This one appears to be the most lopsided of the week.  Team BBC, using the likes of Blake Bortles, Melvin Gordon, Anquan Boldin, and Vincent Jackson, has very low upside.  Maybe Chris Johnson can blow the doors off Baltimore, and Martavis Bryant could get another performance like last week’s big time effort, but it doesn’t appear likely.  His top receiver, Steve Smith Sr. draws Arizona’s overrated cover man, Patrick Peterson, but even a big performance from SSS more likely than not won’t be enough.

The Limping Dez fields one of the strongest lineups in the league.  Andy Luck (vs. NO), Larry Fitz (vs. BAL), Odell Beckham Jr. (vs. DAL), Charles Clay (at JAX) all have excessively favorable matchups.  Dion Lewis and Shane Vereen both have the potential to be PPR monsters, and Crabtree might be able to do solid damage towards San Diego’s solid pass defense.

The likelihood of Team BBC staring at an 0-2 week is high.

Pick: The Limping Dez

The Walking Dez (4-8) at Team Varma (6-6)

Jeremy, my favorite Jets homer, is feeling the pain of injuries to his team.  Having to dump Jamaal Charles hurts, and not picking up any of the backups hurt even more.  We recently just completed a trade, with me sending TJ Yeldon, Gary Barnidge, and Willie Snead in exchange for LeSean McCoy.  These pieces will hopefully provide him with a more well rounded team, with the potential to score more points.  His starting QB, Cam Newton, goes against a hot/cold Eagles defense.  His running potential makes him lethal, and I believe he’ll outperform his 17.5 projected points.  Chris Ivory (@ NE) might struggle, not because of his running, but because the Jets might need to pass more than they’d want to.  He’ll still put up his 10+ points, however.  His receiving corp features Mike Evans (@ WSH), Malcom Floyd (vs. OAK) and his newly acquired toy, Willie Snead (@ IND), and they can all put up respectable points, especially when their teams are losing.  His dual TEs, Jimmy Graham (@ SF) and Gary Barnidge (@ STL) could easily outperform their projected points.  I believe Barnidge is going to be a top 5 TE at the end of this season.

Team Varma has a very strong team, as he looks towards making a playoff run.  I am actually jealous of his RB corps, which include J-Stew, Danny Woodhead, Darren McFadden (a very sneaky play), with Matt Forte on the bye.  Carson Palmer gets a tasty match with Baltimore, making him a hot DFS play as well.  Megatron, Allen Hurns, and Doug Baldwin round out his receiving group, and he gets Greg Olsen against a Giants team that can be beaten via the air.

The Walking Dez will perform admirably, and might sneak into a top 6 score this week, but Team Varma has the quality and depth to make a playoff run this year.

Pick: The Walking Dez

*Matchup of the Week*

Ellen Mao (9-3) at love 2 collude (8-4)

Both of these teams are very strong, as they both look to hammer their way into the playoffs.

Ellen Mao has a deep roster with good RBs and an even stronger WR bunch.  DeMarco Murray (@ CAR) looks to build off last weeks performance, although it appears like it’d be tough against a very stout CAR defense.  Justin Forsett (@ ARI) might be in a similar predicament, but he’ll get his yards somehow, via the air or ground.  Antonio Brown (@ KC) has to hope that Landry Jones can get him the ball better than Mike Vick could.  Keenan Allen (vs. OAK) and Jeremy Maclin (vs. PIT) draw relatively favorable matchups, so points should be easily available to them.  Eric Decker could be what decides this matchup.  Should NE defend Brandon Marshall with double coverage, expect Decker to be open all day long.  With Tyler Eifert on the bye, he decided to go with Coby Fleener vs. a bad NO defense.  There could be hidden points there, but it just doesn’t seem that likely.  Fleener is just not that good.

To counter, love 2 collude has a very good RB corps, while using boom-or-bust WRs.  Le’Veon Bell (@ KC) and Mark Ingram (@ IND) draw very favorable matchups, and those players could very easily outperform their projected points.  If Doug Martin, his flex, can channel his inner Devonta Freeman, he could go absolutely bananas against the Washington football team.

I believe the RBs on love 2 collude will be the difference, as they have the opportunity to capitalize on their opposing run defenses.

Pick: love 2 collude

FAAB Couch (4-8) at Team Chandra (8-4)

Andy already did an extensive preview of this matchup.  I believe that Andy will perform admirably and get the critical win he so desperately needs.

Pick: FAAB Couch

Last Wk: 4-2, Overall: 15-9

My Picks: 

  • Show Me Your TDs over McAfee’s Colts
  • The Limping Dez over Team BBC
  • Team Varma over The Walking Dez
  • love 2 collude over Ellen Mao
  • FAAB Couch over Team Chandra
  • Team Reffe over deflate deez nuts

Last Wk: 4-2, Overall: 20-16

SV’s Corner: 

Last Wk: 5-1, Overall: 18-12

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